-
:ovechkincup2:
(https://galactichub.com/caps/Jets @ Capitals.gif)
Game 69: 87-40-21-7 (PTS-W-L-OT) Streak - W6
Sun Mar 10, 2019 Winnipeg Jets @ Washington Capitals
Place: Capital One Arena
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: NBCSWA, ESPN+, SN
Radio: 106.7 The Fan, Caps Radio 24/7 (http://tunein.com/radio/Caps-Radio-247-s231201/)
NHL.COM (https://www.nhl.com/gamecenter/2018021061) for Live Box Score
Last Game: Fri March 8 Capitals won 3-0 against Devils
Next Game: Tue Mar 12, 7:00 pm ET Capitals @ Penguins
| :spacer50pix: 8-Ovechkin | :spacer50pix: 92-Kuznetsov | :spacer50pix: 43-Wilson |
| :spacer50pix: 13-Vrana | :spacer50pix: 19-Bäckström | :spacer50pix: 77-Oshie |
| :spacer50pix: 62-Hagelin | :spacer50pix: 20-Eller | :spacer50pix: 10-Connolly |
| :spacer50pix: 65-Burakovsky | :spacer50pix: 26-Dowd | :spacer50pix: 72-Boyd |
| :spacer50pix: :spacer50pix: 6-Kempny | :spacer50pix: :spacer50pix: 74-Carlson |
| :spacer50pix: :spacer50pix: 9-Orlov | :spacer50pix: :spacer50pix: 2-Niskanen |
| :spacer50pix: :spacer50pix: 44-Orpik | :spacer50pix: :spacer50pix: 3-Jensen |
|
| :spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix: 1-Copley (starter) |
| :spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix: 70-Holtby |
-- SCRATCH --
| :spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix: 23-Jaskin |
| :spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix: 18-Stephenson |
| :spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix: 29-Djoos |
-- INJURED RESERVE --
| :spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix::spacer50pix: |
-- 1st Powerplay Unit --
| :spacer50pix: 92-Kuznetsov | :spacer50pix: 19-Bäckström | :spacer50pix: 77-Oshie |
| :spacer50pix: :spacer50pix: 8-Ovechkin | :spacer50pix: :spacer50pix: 74-Carlson |
-- 2nd Powerplay Unit --
| :spacer50pix: 13-Vrana | :spacer50pix: 20-Eller | :spacer50pix: 43-Wilson |
| :spacer50pix: :spacer50pix: 2-Niskanen | :spacer50pix: :spacer50pix: 9-Orlov |
:spacer50pix: Referees: Kelly Sutherland (#11), Jean Hebert (#15)
:spacer50pix: Linesmen: Kory Nagy (#97), Shandor Alphonso (#52)
JETS LINEUP
Patrik Laine -- Mark Scheifele -- Blake Wheeler
Kyle Connor -- Kevin Hayes -- Nikolaj Ehlers
Brandon Tanev -- Adam Lowry -- Bryan Little
Mathieu Perreault -- Andrew Copp -- Jack Roslovic
Nathan Beaulieu -- Jacob Trouba
Dmitry Kulikov -- Tyler Myers
Ben Chiarot -- Sami Niku
Connor Hellebuyck (starter)
Laurent Brossoit
Scratched: Bogdan Kiselevich, Matt Hendricks, Par Lindholm
Injured: Dustin Byfuglien (lower body), Joe Morrow (lower body), Josh Morrissey (upper body)
(https://washingtoncapitalsfanforum.com/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fgalactichub.com%2Fcaps%2Fscoring_summary.gif&hash=a5539380153e9a0902e0b6fc1ce40d49d66becf2)
1st Period
04:35 GOAL 19-Bäckström, assists 74-Carlson & 6-Kempny 1-0 WSH
06:23 Jets GOAL Perreault, assists Roslovic & Copp 1-1 TIE
2nd Period
14:32 GOAL 62-Hagelin, assist 26-Dowd 2-1 WSH
3rd Period
19:38 EN GOAL 20-Eller, assists 43-Wilson & 9-Orlov 3-1 WSH
FINAL: 3-1 WSH
(https://russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/rmnb-retina.png)
By Peter Hassett March 10, 2019 8:49 am
Two-time Stanley Cup champion Brooks Orpik is not the problem
(https://i0.wp.com/russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Orpik-Elizabeth-Kong.jpg?fit=1024%2C571&ssl=1)
Headline photo: Elizabeth Kong
Two-time Stanley Cup champion Brooks Orpik had an okay Friday night. In Washington’s win over New Jersey, Orpik played 18:20 and put two shots on goal. Plus, he earned a $250,000 performance bonus for playing in his 40th game of the season. With his $1 million base pay and his payment from Colorado, Orpik is now effectively made whole after last summer’s buyout.
That invites reasonable questions and doubts about how the team might use him going forward. In a league growing quicker and more finesse-driven, Orpik, 38, is neither. But criticisms and condemnations of his play this season have often missed the mark. Orpik has put forth a solid outing in 2018-19, and his play is nowhere near the worst of Washington’s problems.
Below is a table showing Natural Stat Trick‘s on-ice numbers for Caps defenders, color-coded so that green is good and red is bad compared to league average. The first group of columns are the Caps’ offensive rates, the second group is opponent rates against the Caps, and the third is the share or percentage of those total events that the Caps owned. The players are ordered by their ice time per game.
(https://i1.wp.com/russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/wsh-d-on-ice.png?ssl=1)
Put briefly: Orpik’s been fine. He’s above 50 percent in every percentage except overall shot attempts, and he’s got good shot quality. He’s only below league averages in limiting opponent scoring-chances and high-danger chances, and the Caps are generating a decent amount of offense during Orpik’s shifts.
The top-four defenders, meanwhile, have serious deficiencies in suppressing opponent offense — with John Carlson being the surprise-worst at it — and underwhelming offensive rates — especially out of the Orlov-Niskanen pairing. We will come back to this.
Shot suppression during five-on-five play been Washington’s biggest weakness over the past two seasons, but Orpik isn’t the one driving it — at least not anymore. Below are heatmaps from HockeyViz that show from where opponents are shooting and how much when Orpik is on the ice (left) or off the ice (right) in 2018-19.
(https://i0.wp.com/russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/hockeyviz-with-orpik.png?w=581&ssl=1)(https://i2.wp.com/russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/hockeyviz-without-orpik.png?w=581&ssl=1)
It’s not great with Orpik on the ice, but it’s not terrible either. When Orpik is on the bench, it’s undeniable: the Caps are ghastly without the puck.
This is hard to reconcile. Orpik is well known at this point in his career for not being a particularly effective defender, but his performance this season doesn’t match up with that description. We should take that contradiction as an invitation for us to look more deeply. Let’s begin with Orpik’s defensive partners.
As this visualization from HockeyViz illustrates, Orpik’s had been on a bunch of pairings without much consistency — and with a giant gap due to injury in November and December.
(https://i2.wp.com/russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/orpik-linemates-hockeyviz.png?w=1748&ssl=1)
Performances with those partners have been varied. Below are color-coded percentages for Orpik with each of them:
(https://i1.wp.com/russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/orpik-with-linemates.png?w=833&ssl=1)
Three of Orpik’s most frequent partners — Djoos, Siegenthaler, and Jensen — all do well next to him — maybe vindicating Todd Reirden’s decision to introduce new players to Washington’s system by playing with Orpik. On the other hand, Bowey and Orpik were a very bad pairing, but Bowey is not a NHL-level player in any context. The Orpik-Carlson and Orpik-Niskanen pairings have been both horrifically bad and compassionately rare.
I think it’s abundantly clear at this point that it’s possible to use Brooks Orpik successfully. It requires two factors: a mobile partner … and scarcity.
(https://i1.wp.com/russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/orpik-ice-time-by-age.png?w=976&ssl=1)
Performances with those partners have been varied. Below are color-coded percentages for Orpik with each of them:
Orpik’s ice time has dropped 18 percent since last season, landing at 15.7 minutes a night, lowest among all of Washington’s full-time defenders. In some ways this is a smart move by Todd Reirden and one that his predecessor did not handle well. But playing Orpik less requires playing others more, and that’s where the trouble is.
Below is a three-year history of average ice times for Brooks Orpik and Washington’s most over-leveraged defender, Matt Niskanen.
(https://i1.wp.com/russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/orpik-toi.png?w=1175&ssl=1)
Niskanen’s ice time increased when Orpik got injured this past fall and has not dropped too much since he returned. Caps general manager Brian MacLellan has admitted that lowering Niskanen’s ice time was a strategic goal at the trade deadline and a justification for acquiring Nick Jensen, though we have not seen that happen yet: Niskanen’s ice time has actually increased in the last few weeks.
Meanwhile, John Carlson, who allows the third highest rate of high-danger chances in the league, is playing the sixth most minutes in the league per night.
And that’s the hidden external cost of sheltering Brooks Orpik. It forces Carlson and Niskanen — two players who are struggling — to play more than they ought, while restricting the positive impact of Nick Jensen to third-pair minutes and keeping another young, mobile defender, Christian Djoos, out of the lineup entirely.
So no: Orpik is not the problem. But how he’s used might be.
I am skeptical that Todd Reirden would take Orpik out of the lineup for any stretch of time. Orpik’s leadership, his undeniable success within a certain playing context, and his mentorship role with new players are direct and compelling reasons to give him a sweater every night. The downsides — opportunity costs and network effects — are subtle, though maybe more dangerous.
-
7:00pm.. Dafook? :raised-eyebrow:
-
7:00pm.. Dafook? :raised-eyebrow:
It's a pleasant change for a Sunday. It let me listen to the Nats game this afternoon, because it wasn't televised :raised-eyebrow: :raised-eyebrow: :raised-eyebrow:
not that I've a pleasant day, someone has an upset stomach and can't figure out why I'm annoyed she puked on my bed
-
DSP had a hat trick today
-
not that I've a pleasant day, someone has an upset stomach and can't figure out why I'm annoyed she puked on my bed
I can commiserate. I had an AWFUL day myself with my stomach torturing me severely. Still not fun, but much improved since a few hours ago.
I heard about DSP's Hattie. I hope that carries over when he comes back.
-
:slapshot:
-
Let's GO CAPS!
-
(https://galactichub.com/caps/Capitals_mascot-Jets.png) :B:
:19:
-
19
:clap: :clap: :clap:
-
:O=
Sleeping defense there!
-
Damn refs should not have blown the whistle for those two fools going down. They NEVER do that for us!
-
Jensen has been a good addition, but overall the D still sucks ass
-
Connolly is a real liability with his stupid penalties.
-
that PK could be the game
-
:pk:
-
Nisky and the trainer are in the lockerroom,
-
Great PK!
-
Nisky and the trainer are in the lockerroom,
Period almost over. Probably checking for a broken hand, or maybe needing a little cortisone shot for the pain.
-
Saw Nicky score, turned my back and it was 1-1.. :raised-eyebrow: That Connolly penalty is the type stuff that needs to be rewarded with a pressbox view.. Nice PK. Carry on.. :wackysmile:
-
Damn.. Cal Ripken needs to lay off the doughnuts.. :snicker:
-
the radio is about 8 seconds ahead of the video tonight, instead of the normal 25 seconds behind it. I didn't understand how this is so difficult to match. Baseball does it every single game.
-
Damn.. Cal Ripken needs to lay off the doughnuts.. :snicker:
kinda hard to call him the ironman looking like that 8)
-
Refs are stupid AGAIN. That was a stick hold by Ehlers of Hagelin's stick. Hagelin committed no penalty. Ehlers grabbed his stick with his armpit. :raised-eyebrow:
-
Mornin....
-
Mornin....
evenin...
-
the radio is about 8 seconds ahead of the video tonight, instead of the normal 25 seconds behind it. I didn't understand how this is so difficult to match. Baseball does it every single game.
NBCSWA also went back to shitty audio. They had Dolby Digital 5.1 for a week or so and now back to simple stereo.
-
great pp >:(
-
:pppp:
:pathetic:
-
Feeling a little fraggle (fragile) tonight fellas. Be gentle with me, or make me laugh loads, huh? :-|
-
horse shit call
-
'dodgy refs... per se.. ::)
-
:clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap:
-
(https://galactichub.com/caps/Capitals_mascot-Jets.png) :B:
:62:
-
"Per se" mEAND AS PER
Ooooh! That put a smile on my face.... :wackysmile:
-
I guess Hagelin gets a spot on the next shoot out
-
Hey! Hold your horses! How is this the second period?????????/ :huh: :huh: :huh:
7pm start there, huh? Have we changed time zones already? I think not. WHAAAAA?
-
Hey! Hold your horses! How is this the second period? ??? ??? ??/ :huh: :huh: :huh:
7pm start there, huh? Have we changed time zones already? I think not. WHAAAAA?
It changed last night.
-
It changed last night.
I want a re-fund... oh, wait... :P
-
I need a hug. :(
-
Evenin' Lil.. Join the :raised-eyebrow: bunch.. We're all a little pissy tonight! :raspberry: I've been trying to catch a full on cold since Tuesday.. Fucking annoying, taste buds are shot, runny nose, or clogged, depending on the 5 minute interval.. :poop: Shit better be gone in the morning.. :uh-huh:
-
The UK doesn't change from DST until next week.
-
I need a hug. :(
If it makes you feel like you have company I can tell you that I have had one of the worst days in years. I feel like utter crap and extremely nauseous most of the day.
I can barely watch the game.
Only hug I can easily find right now is this weird oldie.
(https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/564x/64/95/4d/64954d842ec55f8eda1c211ecbe5c4f5.jpg)
-
I need a hug. :(
:banana:
:whatahunk:
:titsup:
-
The UK doesn't change from DST until next week.
Actually in three weeks. March 31st.
-
The UK doesn't change from DST until next week.
we knew something wasn't right about them :uh-huh:
-
Evenin' Lil.. Join the :raised-eyebrow: bunch.. We're all a little pissy tonight! :raspberry: I've been trying to catch a full on cold since Tuesday.. Fucking annoying, taste buds are shot, runny nose, or clogged, depending on the 5 minute interval.. :poop: Shit better be gone in the morning.. :uh-huh:
I watched a program about passive rape.
I win. :-|
-
Hi Lil! :clown:
-
Actually in three weeks. March 31st.
Sorry. It was a week or month. It's a hassle at work with teleconferences to the UK.
-
(https://washingtoncapitalsfanforum.com/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2F3.bp.blogspot.com%2F-wuc04XALzlM%2FT_LJqYygL2I%2FAAAAAAABXok%2F8HvP_tebDec%2Fs640%2FFunny%2BFloating%2BHead%2BAds%2B%282%29.jpg&hash=292de13646ad85eef2705b81b0ed108b)
-
:banana:
:whatahunk:
:titsup:
Thanks for the try babes. :hearts:
-
Sorry. It was a week or month. It's a hassle at work with teleconferences to the UK.
?
-
(https://washingtoncapitalsfanforum.com/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2F3.bp.blogspot.com%2F-wuc04XALzlM%2FT_LJqYygL2I%2FAAAAAAABXok%2F8HvP_tebDec%2Fs640%2FFunny%2BFloating%2BHead%2BAds%2B%282%29.jpg&hash=292de13646ad85eef2705b81b0ed108b)
Bah humbug!!!!
All of you know all of this shit alredy don't you?.
-
...
...
Sorry Chaps. Had a bit of an episode. okay now...
-
this can't end well
-
Good job Cops.
-
this can't end well
Not if DC was involved...... :P
-
holy crap, the Caps got the call
-
Did I just frighten everybody else off with my hormonal intet?.....
-
Not if DC was involved...... :P
Totlly wrong end of stick. ::)
-
Did I just frighten everybody else off with my hormonal intet?.....
lol, most likely, at our age weve learned when to duck
-
holy crap, the Caps got the call
We have had a couple of calls go our way in recent memory. Maybe Toronto likes winners.
-
(https://washingtoncapitalsfanforum.com/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2F3.bp.blogspot.com%2F-wuc04XALzlM%2FT_LJqYygL2I%2FAAAAAAABXok%2F8HvP_tebDec%2Fs640%2FFunny%2BFloating%2BHead%2BAds%2B%282%29.jpg&hash=292de13646ad85eef2705b81b0ed108b)
Would not even phase me. MUCH worse than just an upset stomach and not due to eating.
-
I apologise to you al for losing the plot tonight.
Sorry. :(
-
the plot ain't lost yet, still got 5:30 for that to happen
-
the plot ain't lost yet, still got 5:30 for that to happen
:hearts:
-
fukin Orlov
-
Ugh! Orlov. Again? Pffff
-
Been a tricky night babes. ,,, :-|
-
You're a good man. For a man. :P
-
(https://galactichub.com/caps/Capitals_mascot-Jets.png) :B:
:20:
-
nice goal
-
How can they NOT get that in the net??? :lol:
-
I apologise to you al for losing the plot tonight.
Sorry. :(
You're all good with us Lil . . . Always!
-
You're all good with us Lil . . . Always!
Thanks. I know you mean it. :hearts:
-
(https://washingtoncapitalsfanforum.com/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fgalactichub.com%2Fcaps%2Fscoring_summary.gif&hash=a5539380153e9a0902e0b6fc1ce40d49d66becf2)
1st Period
04:35 GOAL 19-Bäckström, assists 74-Carlson & 6-Kempny 1-0 WSH
06:23 Jets GOAL Perreault, assists Roslovic & Copp 1-1 TIE
2nd Period
14:32 GOAL 62-Hagelin, assist 26-Dowd 2-1 WSH
3rd Period
19:38 EN GOAL 20-Eller, assists 43-Wilson & 9-Orlov 3-1 WSH
FINAL: 3-1 WSH
-
Sorry I wsn't on with the game tonight tho.
-
That was another well played game by our champs.
:clap:
-
Sorry I wsn't on with the game tonight tho.
I did not even realize until a couple days ago that they changed the usual date from mid-April to early March to move the clocks ahead.
-
I was ready for the shitty ending.. Glad they surprised me!! :clap:
I watched a program about passive rape.
I win. :-|
Wish I had a witty comeback for ya Babe, but I got nothin'.. I put rapists up there with thieves.. I'd kill a muthafucka!! :uh-huh: Smoke a bowl and let your thoughts go to the good place! ;) :hearts:
-
I was ready for the shitty ending.. Glad they surprised me!! :clap:
Wish I had a witty comeback for ya Babe, but I got nothin'.. I put rapists up there with thieves.. I'd kill a muthafucka!! :uh-huh: Smoke a bowl and let your thoughts go to the good place! ;) :hearts:
:-|
-
Ok peoples, catch ya on Tuesday!
-
I was ready for the shitty ending.. Glad they surprised me!! :clap:
VOTE TRUMP
Wish I had a witty comeback for ya Babe, but I got nothin'.. I put rapists up there with thieves.. I'd kill a muthafucka!! :uh-huh: Smoke a bowl and let your thoughts go to the good place! ;) :hearts:
:-|
:-|
-
Tuesday it is! :wackysmile: :snicker: :rofl:
-
Gonna say goodnight for this one. Hugs peeps. Out.
-
Tuesday it is! :wackysmile: :snicker: :rofl:
! Chicken noises it is!
-
Cn't sleep
-
Back from the game.
The Caps seemed screwed up on offense all game, and the penalties were partly to blame. The Backstrom goal was a nice passing play (+ a heck of a screen by Oshie), but other than that it seemed like mostly scramble time. And Dowd made one of the best passes of the year, the backhand alley-oop to Hagelin for the breakaway coming out of the box.
The last call on Orlov was total baloney. Replay was clear -- the Winnipeg guy was falling and was halfway down when Orlov's stick came in. He would have fallen under any circumstances. But the PK held solid. Eller and Wilson were especially stout.
Copley held his own, but seemed to be fighting the puck a little the last 15 minutes. Fortunately, he was tending to fight some of them off toward the corners or side boards, so it wasn't too bad. We didn't stick around for the postgame, but I suspect he may have gotten the #1 star.
Backstrom's line was assigned to Laine/Wheeler/Sheifle (sp??) and did a heck of a job. Why Backstrom doesn't get more credit for his defense I do not know. He's shut down all the very best lines during his career when he's specifically assigned to do it, and you never hear boo about it.
But boy, face-offs are going to do this team in, especially in the playoffs. The face-off problems are a big part of the reason the Caps get out chanced many nights. Face off wins in the offensive zone for opponents often lead to good scoring chances, and I think one of the reasons the Caps' PP percentage is down some this year is that they seem to lose face-offs and have to drag the puck 200 feet all the time. Less zone time = fewer PP scoring chances.
-
Thanks guys. :hearts: :hearts: :hearts: :hearts: :hearts: