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Greatest Goal Scorer of All Time

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Mickstix:
My money says he signs 1 year deals (after this next contract) until he breaks the record. Barring injury, he's gonna break the record..  :uh-huh:

zerofox:
Let's say he ends up with 715 goals by end of this season (which is 17 more goals in nearly 28 games remaining, a .60 goals/game average).

Next five seasons:

-50
-40
-35
-30
-25

That assumes some decline due to age and still puts him at 895.

To note, Selanne was scoring 40+ goals a season around age 35-36 or so. Closer to age 40 he was still at a 30+ goal a season pace (fell short at times due to injury). Ovechkin is a superior goal scorer to Selanne, so I think the numbers above are quite conservative. I think after 4 seasons if he hasn't beaten the record, he'll be dangerously close to it. Close enough to say "fuck it I put off retirement one more season just to get this record."

zerofox:
And following up on my prior post, no one knows how many more seasons Ovie will play, or how many goals he'll score per season.

Here's a quick little table I made showing how many goals he might need to score after this season to beat Wayne, and how many seasons he'll need to play depending on his scoring rate. If he scores at a .55 goals/game rate or better, he can do it in 4 seasons (will be 38 in his final season). But if he plays 5 full seasons, his goals/game rate can be as low as .45 and he can still beat the record.


Simply put, he's got a really good chance

alta:

--- Quote from: BlackIce on Saturday February 08, 2020, 02:54:27 PM Eastern ---Uh, Ovie's current contract was NOT front end loaded.  His annual salary was $9 million for its first 6 years, $10 million for the last 7.  Regardless, it is true that he has made a mint during his time here, and I think the entire organization would say that he has been well worth it.


--- End quote ---


13 years ago, $9M a year was a shitload. The fact that it remained at $10M for so long would indeed count as front end loaded. Especially when goalies are now making that, and not earning it. That and inflation is a real thing.


a better way to put it is, what is a bigger hit against the salary cap? $9M 13 years ago? Or $10M today??

Rey Capalpatine:

--- Quote from: Mickstix on Saturday February 08, 2020, 03:37:18 PM Eastern ---My money says he signs 1 year deals (after this next contract) until he breaks the record. Barring injury, he's gonna break the record..  :uh-huh:

--- End quote ---


That be alright in my book.  Even if he comes in second you could still make the argument that he is the greatest scorer of all time.

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